Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.191000 0.215776 0.242005 0.271787 0.304607 0.339612 0.379716
2025-07-06 0.156518 0.189654 0.226774 0.271242 0.322862 0.380683 0.450131
2025-07-13 0.133931 0.172440 0.217720 0.274468 0.343234 0.423389 0.523372
2025-07-20 0.118742 0.161358 0.213647 0.281797 0.367463 0.470718 0.603626
2025-07-27 0.104506 0.149343 0.206570 0.283864 0.384284 0.508980 0.673982
2025-08-03 0.094503 0.141387 0.203396 0.289858 0.405507 0.552889 0.752622
2025-08-10 0.086827 0.135527 0.202080 0.297595 0.428731 0.599751 0.836444
2025-08-17 0.077303 0.125921 0.194566 0.295936 0.438711 0.629123 0.898043
2025-08-24 0.069580 0.118036 0.188596 0.295611 0.449944 0.660039 0.962280
2025-08-31 0.062739 0.110711 0.182675 0.294636 0.459754 0.688909 1.024287
2025-09-07 0.058483 0.106946 0.181615 0.300447 0.479196 0.731492 1.106311
2025-09-14 0.053375 0.101255 0.177072 0.300538 0.489985 0.761935 1.172015
2025-09-21 0.048481 0.095579 0.172309 0.300260 0.500622 0.793221 1.241125
2025-09-28 0.044108 0.090334 0.167782 0.299950 0.511025 0.824390 1.311027
2025-10-05 0.040937 0.086882 0.165887 0.303614 0.527559 0.865050 1.396007
2025-10-12 0.038832 0.085154 0.166719 0.311677 0.551219 0.917078 1.499353
2025-10-19 0.035972 0.081690 0.164245 0.313973 0.565619 0.955360 1.583119
2025-10-26 0.034023 0.079782 0.164332 0.320523 0.587058 1.005035 1.685494
2025-11-02 0.032498 0.078556 0.165521 0.328957 0.611829 1.060572 1.798331
2025-11-09 0.029723 0.074458 0.161084 0.327159 0.619317 1.088955 1.869778
2025-11-16 0.027390 0.071030 0.157617 0.326810 0.629094 1.121119 1.947844
2025-11-23 0.025186 0.067630 0.153919 0.325750 0.637473 1.151122 2.023139
2025-11-30 0.023980 0.066332 0.154231 0.332076 0.658861 1.202857 2.134344